Mick Hartley

Nadim Koteich, an Emirati political adviser and media executive, said that he considers a resumption of hostilities the likeliest scenario unless Iran fundamentally changes its behavior. “The drivers of another round are still live. Tehran and Washington are already describing two different deals, and Israel never signed,” he said. “For this to hold, Iran has to betray itself—verifiable compliance, real International Atomic Energy Agency access, uranium stockpile moves, proxy restraint. I would bet on fraying before I bet on a settlement.”