Michael Totten on Putin and the new Russia – just like the old Russia:

While an exhausted and burned out United States wishes international migraines like the Syrian civil war would just go away, Russia is energized by the prospect of filling the vacuum and thus once again playing a major role on the world stage. Aggressively intervening on behalf of his ally in Damascus, President Bashar al-Assad, and projecting force well beyond even the frontier states in his“near abroad,” Vladimir Putin audaciously aims to change political outcomes in a region that has been out of his country’s sphere of influence for a generation.

The telegram to President Obama has arrived: “The Iranian-Syria-Hezbollah axis—by far the world’s most powerful terrorist nexus and the bane of American servicemen and policymakers for more than three decades—is now officially the Russian-Iranian-Syrian-Hezbollah axis. Details to follow.”

Syria became a Russian client state in 1966 when the Arab Socialist Baath Party seized power in a coup d’état, overthrowing the relatively moderate Aflaqites and establishing a far more brutal regime influenced heavily by Marxism-Leninism.

The relationship atrophied, of course, after the Soviet Union collapsed. For a long time, Moscow could barely hold its own country together, and Syria found its international support from the Islamic Republic of Iran and its terrorist army in Lebanon, Hezbollah.

But Russia is back on its feet again, Assad needs some help, and four and a half years into the Syrian civil war, it’s obvious that the United States is largely uninterested in any serious attempt to resolve the conflict one way or another. Russia can do whatever it wants….

Posted in

3 responses to “Russia can do whatever it wants”

  1. Bob-B Avatar
    Bob-B

    If Russia is indeed ‘back on its feet again’, there are surely questions as to how long it can remain on its feet.
    ‘Russia’s economy contracted by 3.7% in 2015’
    ‘Retail sales plunged by 10% and capital investment fell by 8.4%’
    ‘President Vladimir Putin said in December that the budget had been calculated based on oil at $50 a barrel. Oil is trading at just over $30 a barrel.’
    ‘Earlier this month senior citizens blocked streets in Sochi and Krasnodar to protest against the scrapping of free travel passes for pensioners. People power persuaded the local authorities to reverse the decision. The longer Russia’s economic woes continue, the greater the likelihood that social protest here will spread.’
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-35398423
    No doubt the US has been rather feeble in recent times, but it doesn’t follow that Russia has suddenly become all powerful.

    Like

  2. Mick H Avatar
    Mick H

    Well no, not all powerful. But there’s nothing like reviving the old superpower ways to bolster one’s appeal at home and divert attention from the fact that the economy’s tanking. And, as Totten suggests, this Syrian adventure is not, as these things go, particularly costly.

    Like

  3. Bob-B Avatar
    Bob-B

    Yes, but I doubt whether the thrill of knowing that Russian bombs are raining down on Syria will compensate for very long for all the pain that results from Russia’s collapsing economy.

    Like

Leave a comment