Mick Hartley

Interesting X thread reader from Seth Frantzen:

Some people see Oct 7 as primarily linked to the Iran-backed axis. However, in my view it’s much more closely linked to the long-term goal of Ankara and Doha. Both host Hamas and backed Oct 7. Both are western allies which gives Hamas much more clout than Hezbollah or the Assad regime had

Iran’s goal in backing Hamas was to exploit the Israel-Palestinian conflict to have a “foot” within what it believed was a popular Arab and “Sunni” cause. It already had PIJ as a proxy, it wanted to grow outside this narrow niche. To do that it promised to knit Hamas into its network of proxies

The Houthis joined this because it was convenient for them and Hezbollah and the Iraqi militias did the same, against their own best interests probably. But for Ankara and Doha October 7 is THE cause. It’s not just an exploitation, it’s the main goal

Hamas is a genocidal organization. We remember it grew into this via tutelage from Ankara and Doha, not primarily from Iran. Iran helped it build missiles, but the ideology of October 7 that led them to kidnap kids and massacre old people and the Nova festival is tied more directly to the ideology of Ankara and Doha.  […]

The decline of Iran’s axis will leave Hamas with the same ideological foundation. Its genocidal foundation is primarily backed by Doha and Ankara whereas its missile and technological ambitions were a result of Iranian support (like Houthi missiles etc). The blending of the Iranian tech know-how with the ideological genocidal views is what made Oct 7 possible. To prevent another occurrence requires dealing with the ideological support