As someone who generally finds Christopher Hitchens to be one of the sharpest political writers around, I have to say I'm a little perplexed by his latest effort at Slate. Citing recent reports that Iran may be having more trouble than was previously assumed in its attempts to produce low-enriched uranium, he wonders if now, while they're struggling, might not be as good a time as any to – well, he doesn't actually spell it out, but yes – attack the bastards:

I have never been present for any discussion of any measures that could even thinkably be taken against Tehran that does not focus obsessively and exclusively on the possibly calamitous outcomes. Israel hits Iran and—well, you fill in the rest. The target sites are, anyway, too much dispersed and too deeply buried. You know how it goes. Apparently, nothing can be done that does not make a bad situation worse. It is as if there could be a worse outcome than the nuclear armament of a lawless messianic state that tore up every agreement it signed even as it bought further time while signing it.

In that case, Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama and many others should never have said that such an eventuality was unacceptable. They should have said that there were some conditions under which it was acceptable, and also clearly specified what those conditions were. If there's no saber in the scabbard, then at least don't make the vulgar mistake of rattling it.

Against this, we are at least entitled to consider the idea that a decaying regime that is bluffing and buying (or rather stealing) time on weapons of mass destruction is in a condition that makes this the best moment to do at least something to raise the cost of the lawlessness and to slow down and sabotage the preparations. Or might it be better to wait and to fight later on more equal terms? Just asking.

Is this Hitchens bluster? – knowing that with Obama in the White House it's not going to happen anyway – or is he serious? Just asking.

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7 responses to “Making a Bad Situation Worse”

  1. Noga Avatar

    He must have read Michael Totten’s conversation with Eli Khouri and found the latter’s prognostications quite persuasive.

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  2. Dom Avatar
    Dom

    War with Iran is unthinkable. We are in Iraq and Afghanistan already. The rest of the world wouldn’t stand for another war over WMD. And what Hitchens seems to dismiss — that Iran’s materials are too scattered — shouldn’t be dismissed at all. It’s a very significant point.
    And we are pretty obviously vulnerable — there are too many ways to sneak bombs into this country.
    I hope we are doing the sort of secret stuff that will get us into trouble years from now — funding dissenters, spreading havoc, that sort of thing. Aside from that, there is nothing we can do.

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  3. www.google.com/accounts/o8/id?id=AItOawmP7SbPT5amewMmN6aa_bcxyP7pqgIw3m0 Avatar

    Speaking of Michael Totten, he has vivid memories of Christopher Hitchens’ “damn the consequences, attack now” impulses!

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  4. airforceamazons.blogspot.com Avatar

    Oops and damn, that scrambled ID was me.

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  5. airforceamazons.blogspot.com Avatar

    Techie details on the Iranians’ problems that may not be such a problem for them after all:
    http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/2505/reading-mark-hibbs-in-washington

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  6. DaninVan Avatar
    DaninVan

    I’m not clear, M.H., are you questioning Hitchen’s or are you questioning whether Israel has the capability to do it?
    Israel will do what it must to survive; it always has.
    Obama’s ‘wishes’ carry almost no weight. I think he’s burned those bridges.

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  7. Mick H Avatar
    Mick H

    I’m questioning Hitchens. I’m sure Israel has the capability.

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